Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 7.793588 8.904361 10.128569 11.579755 13.255518 15.132737 17.399084
2025-08-24 6.163171 7.572154 9.249136 11.399053 14.092043 17.366618 21.669826
2025-08-31 5.169277 6.685616 8.591590 11.176162 14.609588 19.041739 25.241542
2025-09-07 4.718315 6.368246 8.538635 11.623779 15.930895 21.781066 30.414858
2025-09-14 4.267702 5.973091 8.305270 11.757387 16.788196 23.930285 34.976837
2025-09-21 3.856600 5.572959 8.001941 11.728790 17.371743 25.706584 39.154583
2025-09-28 3.487044 5.185510 7.664386 11.593237 17.752247 27.183989 43.003409
2025-10-05 3.306831 5.054531 7.681873 11.978462 18.944381 29.993458 49.241894
2025-10-12 3.128524 4.905107 7.650148 12.271957 20.004456 32.680813 55.568410
2025-10-19 2.998128 4.815695 7.698441 12.689325 21.295227 35.859335 63.082669
2025-10-26 2.735071 4.486654 7.328836 12.371109 21.299361 36.838837 66.791042
2025-11-02 2.532064 4.238545 7.069011 12.210309 21.550922 38.257540 71.439252
2025-11-09 2.346509 4.007242 6.822320 12.056762 21.813132 39.745334 76.448496
2025-11-16 2.173779 3.783629 6.569604 11.867300 21.987202 41.082165 81.318572
2025-11-23 2.012162 3.565920 6.308097 11.634605 22.050413 42.202564 85.867525
2025-11-30 1.967301 3.554507 6.415502 12.101914 23.506839 46.181852 96.830708
2025-12-07 1.880253 3.457771 6.356768 12.241410 24.322332 48.952820 105.542779
2025-12-14 1.778560 3.325217 6.219369 12.211552 24.786256 51.039293 112.990628
2025-12-21 1.671818 3.174684 6.035314 12.070027 25.000515 52.613064 119.456703
2025-12-28 1.636024 3.159413 6.113175 12.472239 26.409986 56.916136 132.857235
2026-01-04 1.591259 3.122643 6.144741 12.778703 27.638717 60.944435 146.124155
2026-01-11 1.562020 3.114757 6.233529 13.214551 29.197767 65.888429 162.325427
2026-01-18 1.459062 2.947836 5.981671 12.882240 28.968352 66.631899 167.892955